Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.183153 0.216614 0.254072 0.299059 0.351567 0.410863 0.482854
2025-07-20 0.143990 0.190010 0.246994 0.322506 0.419690 0.540289 0.701018
2025-07-27 0.117966 0.169318 0.237991 0.336029 0.471802 0.652525 0.910554
2025-08-03 0.096228 0.148228 0.222395 0.335038 0.500773 0.734434 1.087315
2025-08-10 0.077568 0.127241 0.202250 0.322568 0.509243 0.785952 1.224701
2025-08-17 0.062645 0.108856 0.182369 0.306286 0.507984 0.820738 1.338737
2025-08-24 0.054606 0.099926 0.175463 0.308545 0.534569 0.899260 1.526891
2025-08-31 0.046105 0.088663 0.162828 0.299113 0.540099 0.943805 1.664109
2025-09-07 0.041198 0.082908 0.158615 0.303163 0.568263 1.027667 1.874384
2025-09-14 0.036662 0.077062 0.153298 0.304260 0.590876 1.103722 2.078288
2025-09-21 0.032148 0.070501 0.145658 0.299828 0.602473 1.160922 2.253716
2025-09-28 0.028612 0.065337 0.139937 0.298173 0.618765 1.227735 2.452687
2025-10-05 0.026683 0.063482 0.140996 0.311052 0.666690 1.362122 2.800010
2025-10-12 0.025703 0.063598 0.146231 0.333432 0.736863 1.547694 3.268233
2025-10-19 0.024053 0.061895 0.147309 0.347076 0.790594 1.706466 3.700193
2025-10-26 0.021513 0.057622 0.142047 0.346005 0.812698 1.803173 4.015580
2025-11-02 0.018547 0.051754 0.132227 0.333139 0.807116 1.841220 4.211765
2025-11-09 0.015777 0.045862 0.121424 0.316348 0.790318 1.853011 4.352153
2025-11-16 0.014401 0.043432 0.118715 0.318677 0.818169 1.965538 4.725602
2025-11-23 0.012604 0.039495 0.111585 0.308950 0.815856 2.009670 4.949064
2025-11-30 0.011645 0.037779 0.109981 0.313128 0.848112 2.136602 5.375969
2025-12-07 0.010658 0.035797 0.107364 0.314258 0.872789 2.248095 5.777552
2025-12-14 0.009565 0.033281 0.102880 0.309688 0.882142 2.323509 6.099781